Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.450198 0.522461 0.602011 0.695999 0.803933 0.923925 1.067366
2025-05-04 0.338021 0.437841 0.559511 0.718333 0.919775 1.166340 1.490614
2025-05-11 0.271683 0.380976 0.524310 0.725207 0.998586 1.356593 1.859871
2025-05-18 0.224219 0.335691 0.490946 0.721581 1.053891 1.513484 2.195114
2025-05-25 0.187818 0.297824 0.459314 0.711679 1.093760 1.647652 2.507806
2025-06-01 0.160947 0.268794 0.434786 0.706229 1.135753 1.784995 2.835108
2025-06-08 0.135787 0.238036 0.402508 0.683046 1.145478 1.871904 3.091625
2025-06-15 0.127909 0.234038 0.411524 0.725682 1.262398 2.134327 3.646770
2025-06-22 0.109894 0.209873 0.383684 0.702879 1.267877 2.216719 3.916170
2025-06-29 0.095024 0.189042 0.358630 0.681147 1.271481 2.294373 4.182494
2025-07-06 0.083144 0.171983 0.337962 0.664264 1.280784 2.381055 4.470460
2025-07-13 0.076542 0.164141 0.333194 0.675845 1.342383 2.564493 4.946179
2025-07-20 0.073244 0.162690 0.340841 0.712801 1.457041 2.857690 5.656334
2025-07-27 0.068378 0.157353 0.340269 0.733686 1.543338 3.107214 6.310540
2025-08-03 0.062701 0.149414 0.333329 0.740602 1.602212 3.309255 6.891521
2025-08-10 0.056773 0.140019 0.322068 0.736899 1.638469 3.469455 7.403386
2025-08-17 0.051041 0.130214 0.308648 0.726795 1.659846 3.601091 7.868687
2025-08-24 0.046316 0.122095 0.297920 0.721234 1.690063 3.753002 8.388842
2025-08-31 0.040917 0.111511 0.280201 0.697580 1.677550 3.813425 8.720207
2025-09-07 0.040281 0.112899 0.290776 0.741082 1.821230 4.221741 9.838866
2025-09-14 0.035783 0.103543 0.274259 0.717816 1.807854 4.284222 10.200328
2025-09-21 0.031854 0.095113 0.258959 0.695642 1.794492 4.345028 10.562686
2025-09-28 0.028602 0.088058 0.246249 0.678415 1.791125 4.427962 10.982583